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etftalk
03-13-2009, 02:21 AM
Welcome, and good luck 350Z!

350Z
03-13-2009, 06:10 AM
Welcome, and good luck 350Z!

Thanks Tom.

Since I'm out of IFT's, I figured I would spend the rest of the month here.:D

I'm currently flat but looking to pick up FAZ.

Gumby
03-13-2009, 10:51 AM
Thanks Tom.

Since I'm out of IFT's, I figured I would spend the rest of the month here.:D

I'm currently flat but looking to pick up FAZ.

Welcome 350 and GL.:)

XL-entLady
03-13-2009, 11:53 AM
Great to see you here!

Lady

Show-me
03-13-2009, 12:42 PM
Well, well, there goes the neighborhood. LOL Welcome and glad you came over.

350Z
03-13-2009, 01:28 PM
Thanks everyone.

Is it just me or does it feel like the market is going to open green, with maybe a push higher, than sell-off the rest of the day?

Bonds rallying.

JTH
03-13-2009, 01:55 PM
Thanks everyone.

Is it just me or does it feel like the market is going to open green, with maybe a push higher, than sell-off the rest of the day?

Bonds rallying.

No it's just you and me both :toung:

Seriously though, it's good see you here. :)

Show-me
03-13-2009, 02:02 PM
Looking at the carts this can not last much longer. We have had a number of these strong 3 to 6 day rallies and then sell off.

I'm still in the camp of sell the rallies.

350Z
03-13-2009, 02:13 PM
No it's just you and me both :toung:

Seriously though, it's good see you here. :)

Hey JTH.

FAZ is currently at 38.5. Intervention is still in the air, so I'm just going to sitting on my hands. FAZ at 35 or lower would be tempting.

350Z
03-13-2009, 02:25 PM
Looking at the carts this can not last much longer. We have had a number of these strong 3 to 6 day rallies and then sell off.

I'm still in the camp of sell the rallies.

Yup, the VIX so far today, is saying this is about to end.

JTH
03-13-2009, 03:38 PM
Hey JTH.

FAZ is currently at 38.5. Intervention is still in the air, so I'm just going to sitting on my hands. FAZ at 35 or lower would be tempting.

These are prices I wouldn't have imagined just 3 days ago when everyone was jumping in @ 65.00 :wacko:

I've already bought in twice and I'm a bit heavy on FAZ right now. I have nothing left to throw at it, as my cash is stuck in unsettled funds.

Good luck to anyone who is think about dipping in.

Gumby
03-13-2009, 03:50 PM
These are prices I wouldn't have imagined just 3 days ago when everyone was jumping in @ 65.00 :wacko:


I remember looking last Friday and FAZ was over $111. I didn't look to see what the high for the day was...but it was more than $111.
We have had more than 50% retracement.

350Z
03-13-2009, 03:50 PM
These are prices I wouldn't have imagined just 3 days ago when everyone was jumping in @ 65.00 :wacko:

I've already bought in twice and I'm a bit heavy on FAZ right now. I have nothing left to throw at it, as my cash is stuck in unsettled funds.

Good luck to anyone who is think about dipping in.

SPX has strong support 745 and at 740(20dma), we might just be seeing consolidation.

350Z
03-13-2009, 07:29 PM
getting ready to buy FAZ

350Z
03-13-2009, 07:41 PM
getting ready to buy FAZ

Bought FAZ at $39.88.:)

etftalk
03-13-2009, 07:56 PM
Good luck Z. It's hard to believe it is that cheap.

350Z
03-13-2009, 08:00 PM
Good luck Z. It's hard to believe it is that cheap.

Thanks Tom,

I'll add more if it gets to 35. I don't think it will come to that.

350Z
03-13-2009, 10:53 PM
Here's how the German DAX finish. It's somewhat bearish but not as dramatic as would have liked. Most of Europe finish about the same way. The SPX on the other hand, finished above the 20dma as 740 in the futures held. Suggesting it could continue on Monday. The VIX is also on the side of the bears, suggesting the market made a top today. A lot of mix signals today.:wacko:

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350Z
03-14-2009, 01:16 AM
Tom,

The attachments are not showing up like they do at TSPTalk. Is this normal?


Here's how the German DAX finish. It's somewhat bearish but not as dramatic as would have liked. Most of Europe finish about the same way. The SPX on the other hand, finished above the 20dma as 740 in the futures held. Suggesting it could continue on Monday. The VIX is also on the side of the bears, suggesting the market made a top today. A lot of mix signals today.:wacko:


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350Z
03-16-2009, 12:56 PM
Bought FAZ at $39.88.:)


Thanks Tom,

I'll add more if it gets to 35. I don't think it will come to that.

Put on a limit order to buy more at 35. We are near the top. The Nikkei hit 7754(top of bollinger band) last night and gave back some gains.

Also shorted EUR/USD near 1.304.

Anybody here trade currencies? If not, I won't mention it anymore.

GL everybody.:)

Corepuncher
03-16-2009, 01:09 PM
Put on a limit order to buy more at 35. We are near the top. The Nikkei hit 7754(top of bollinger band) last night and gave back some gains.

Also shorted EUR/USD near 1.304.

Anybody here trade currencies? If not, I won't mention it anymore.

GL everybody.:)


I'm being conservative and witing for 33 or so. there should be good support there as the lows go back to Dec/Jan. There was a good consolidation period back then where it went sideways...should be support.

Also thinking of buying some DXO soon...gonna see how it behaves near 220

XL-entLady
03-16-2009, 01:11 PM
Put on a limit order to buy more at 35. We are near the top. The Nikkei hit 7754(top of bollinger band) last night and gave back some gains.

Also shorted EUR/USD near 1.304.

Anybody here trade currencies? If not, I won't mention it anymore.

GL everybody.:)
I don't trade currencies but I pay attention to them because of market linkage with dollar/gold, dollar/foreign ETFs, yen/foreign ETFs, etc, etc. Re your FAZ, I'm wishing you all the best because of my FAZ! :wacko:

Lady

350Z
03-16-2009, 01:21 PM
I'm being conservative and witing for 33 or so. there should be good support there as the lows go back to Dec/Jan. There was a good consolidation period back then where it went sideways...should be support.

Also thinking of buying some DXO soon...gonna see how it behaves near 220

33 would be an awesome buy. Not sure if it gets there.

350Z
03-16-2009, 01:24 PM
I don't trade currencies but I pay attention to them because of market linkage with dollar/gold, dollar/foreign ETFs, yen/foreign ETFs, etc, etc. Re your FAZ, I'm wishing you all the best because of my FAZ! :wacko:

Lady

Be right sit tight Lady.:)

JTH
03-16-2009, 02:05 PM
I don't trade currencies but I pay attention to them because of market linkage with dollar/gold, dollar/foreign ETFs, yen/foreign ETFs, etc, etc. Re your FAZ, I'm wishing you all the best because of my FAZ! :wacko:

Lady

Here, Here I second that nomination. I'm not currently trading currencies, but I like to think they are an important piece of the Jigsaw. I've tracked UDN/UUP in the past and plan on adding them to my daily watch list.

350Z
03-16-2009, 10:13 PM
Put on a limit order to buy more at 35. We are near the top. The Nikkei hit 7754(top of bollinger band) last night and gave back some gains.

Also shorted EUR/USD near 1.304.

Anybody here trade currencies? If not, I won't mention it anymore.

GL everybody.:)

Correction: I shorted EUR/USD at 1.3024, not 1.3040. I must have been half asleep this morning.

FAZ LOD was $34.80. Bought more at $35. FAZ currently at $42.75.:)

Just closed out EUR/USD at 1.2974 for a 38% gain. :)

etftalk
03-16-2009, 10:44 PM
Anybody here trade currencies? If not, I won't mention it anymore.
Keep posting the info. I do trade them occassionally, but backed off last fall when a rally in the euro kicked my butt (I was heavily short).

We have a futures / currency subforum, so have at it. I'd love to see a futures trading discussion.

350Z
03-16-2009, 11:44 PM
Keep posting the info. I do trade them occassionally, but backed off last fall when a rally in the euro kicked my butt (I was heavily short).

We have a futures / currency subforum, so have at it. I'd love to see a futures trading discussion.


Will do.

Yup, currency trading is fun but very risky. 100 to leverage.:eek:

350Z
03-17-2009, 03:15 PM
Topping action. A lot of people not wanting to miss the next bull. The slaughter is coming. Holding FAZ.

Corepuncher
03-17-2009, 04:16 PM
Topping action. A lot of people not wanting to miss the next bull. The slaughter is coming. Holding FAZ.

Just bought some FAZ at 41.30...wish I bought yesterday.

Bullitt
03-17-2009, 05:25 PM
I'd love to see a futures trading discussion.

Me too. I like the daily talk regarding actual currency pairs, not so much the currency ETF's. I have an account at FXCM, and anything I can learn here would be great.

JTH
03-17-2009, 06:08 PM
Just bought some FAZ at 41.30...wish I bought yesterday.

One more post and I can stop laughing at your newbie status :toung:

Hey when/if you get some time, can you throw me a decent bloger link I can follow? Someone who likes to talk about bonds and someone who likes to talk about USD.

350Z
03-18-2009, 03:06 AM
I'm thinking about shorting EUR/USD again, for a quick trade. When I say quick, I mean in and out within the next two hours.

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350Z
03-18-2009, 03:16 AM
I'm thinking about shorting EUR/USD again, for a quick trade. When I say quick, I mean in and out within the next two hours.


Shorted EUR/USD at 1.3038.

350Z
03-18-2009, 04:31 AM
Shorted EUR/USD at 1.3038.

Stop got hit at 1.3043 for a small loss. That trend line appears to be holding for now.

It's bed time and don't want to leave a trade on.

Once the market starts turning down, I see EUR/USD cliff diving. The time to really short it is coming.

etftalk
03-18-2009, 04:43 AM
It's bed time and don't want to leave a trade on.
Probably a good idea. Overnight futures positions can be quite dangerous as they usually shoot for stops in both directions.

350Z
03-18-2009, 10:41 AM
Shorted EUR/USD again at 1.3053. Stop at 1.3075.

350Z
03-18-2009, 01:13 PM
Shorted EUR/USD again at 1.3053. Stop at 1.3075.

Damn, another losing trade. Good thing I had a stop in. When trading currencies, you really want to be there for every pip.

350Z
03-18-2009, 04:21 PM
Shares that were used to short some Financials are being called in. This is causing some short covering. When it's over, the market will tank.

HOLDING FAZ.

If I was home, I would probably add more.

350Z
03-18-2009, 09:51 PM
Shorted EUR/USD at 1.3521.

It had a big move today thanks to the Fed promising to buy $800B of toxic mortgages and $300B of long treasuries. Where is the money coming from? This might not even happen. They have been saying they were going to buy treasuries for how long now? And they have yet to buy any.

EUR/USD's rocket shot. Now pinned at the 50%. Should retrace some.

40

Still holding FAZ. Bought at $39.88 and $35.00.:(

350Z
03-19-2009, 02:22 AM
Shorted EUR/USD at 1.3521.



Covered at 1.3443 for a 57% profit. My two earlier losses were very minor compared to this gain. Thank you Mr. Bernanke.:)


Long USD/JPY at 96.10.

Contemplating long EUR/USD.

350Z
03-19-2009, 02:29 AM
Long USD/JPY at 96.10.



USD/JPY Target is 97, but I'm not too confident about this one. Might have to pull the plug quick and eat a small loss.

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350Z
03-19-2009, 02:56 AM
Long USD/JPY at 96.10.



Sold at 95.89 for a 22% loss. Ouch. Didn't want to give that much back.

350Z
03-23-2009, 03:01 PM
Bought more FAZ at 26.71.:wacko:

JTH
03-23-2009, 03:12 PM
I couldn't possibly calculate the risk/reward ratio. :huh:

If you're wrong oh well, but if you're right it will pay off bigtime...

350Z
03-23-2009, 03:41 PM
I couldn't possibly calculate the risk/reward ratio. :huh:

If you're wrong oh well, but if you're right it will pay off bigtime...

We're overbought. Risk is to the downside. Geithner's lastest plan is an act of treason. It's the theft of tax payer money. It does nothing for the economy. While some investors, hedge funds, or former Countrywide Execs might get rich from this plan, job losses will continue. The consumer is still deep in debt.

We need a tax revolt.

If FAZ gets back to 36-37, I'll break even.

350Z
03-23-2009, 07:47 PM
EUR/USD is looking tempting for a short. Again, this will a very quick trade. This game has been profitable for me, unlike FAZ.

70

350Z
03-23-2009, 07:52 PM
SPX gap fill at 826? Why not? Lets just get it over with today.

350Z
03-23-2009, 07:57 PM
EUR/USD is looking tempting for a short. Again, this will a very quick trade. This game has been profitable for me, unlike FAZ.



Shorted EUR/USD at 1.3650

350Z
03-23-2009, 08:00 PM
Bought more FAZ at 19.28. Seems like a good year.:bigsmile:

350Z
03-24-2009, 10:13 AM
Shorted EUR/USD at 1.3650

Covered at 1.3576. captured 74 pips on the downside for a 54% gain.:bigsmile: Could of had more but I got to get ready for work.


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etftalk
03-25-2009, 04:30 AM
Covered at 1.3576. captured 74 pips on the downside for a 54% gain.:bigsmile: Could of had more but I got to get ready for work.

nice trade 350!

350Z
03-25-2009, 12:25 PM
nice trade 350!

Thanks Tom.

If you get a chance, take a look at the EUR/USD daily chart. I can't post the correct chart at the moment, but it looks like it's in the process of rolling over. I see a lot of potential on the down side. Obviously, no holding over night, but a lot of quick intra-day shorts. Perhaps I'll get lucky and catch a big cliff dive.

XL-entLady
03-25-2009, 01:18 PM
Interesting that you say that. I've got significant exposure to international markets so I've been watching the dollar carefully. Looks to me like the dollary has put in a low on the daily cycle. And I'm wondering if I should close my international positions. They've been doing so well since about March 9. But it seems like getting out of an EFT at the right time is much harder for me than getting in. :embarrest:

Lady

etftalk
03-25-2009, 01:45 PM
Thanks Tom.

If you get a chance, take a look at the EUR/USD daily chart. I can't post the correct chart at the moment, but it looks like it's in the process of rolling over. I see a lot of potential on the down side. Obviously, no holding over night, but a lot of quick intra-day shorts. Perhaps I'll get lucky and catch a big cliff dive.
Oscar's been shorting the euro also, he did today.
http://www.livewithoscar.com/modules.php?name=Content

350Z
03-25-2009, 02:23 PM
Oscar's been shorting the euro also, he did today.
http://www.livewithoscar.com/modules.php?name=Content

He's not making any sense. Saying there's a fundamental change in the market, but shorting the EUR/USD? If the bull market is back, the EUR/USD will continue to rise.

Did SPX just filled the gap at 826? That might have been the time to try a EUR/USD short at 1.36.

I'm not at home so I can't make any trades.

350Z
03-27-2009, 12:55 PM
EUR/USD did a cliff dive 1.5 hours after I went to bed. I didn't have a short on as I don't like to leave trades on overnight. Now, I'm considering going long for a quick trade.

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350Z
03-30-2009, 07:22 PM
Shorted EUR/USD at 1.3191. This will be quick.

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350Z
03-31-2009, 02:02 PM
Ouch. Stop got hit over night for a big loss.:(

etftalk
03-31-2009, 02:22 PM
Sorrt to hear. Those overnight futures trades can be brutal. There is period where the swings are wild, as if they are just shooting for the stops.

alevin
03-31-2009, 02:56 PM
Sorrt to hear. Those overnight futures trades can be brutal. There is period where the swings are wild, as if they are just shooting for the stops.

I read about stop-hunting in the overnight trades a couple weeks ago, reason I haven't been putting hard stops on my buys lately, since I don't day-trade.

350Z
04-02-2009, 07:57 PM
Shorted USD/JPY at 99.60. 100 seems to be a big barrier.