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Taken from our 4/03/09 TSP Talk daily market commentary:

The S&P 500 has been on fire lately, breaking through resistance levels lately, but is trading at the upper end of the declining channel. The 200-day moving average is hanging above just waiting to be tagged, but will the index have enough strength to get there during this push?


Chart provided courtesy of www.decisionpoint.com, analysis by ETF Talk
...

The market closed modestly higher again on Friday advancing the 4-day rally in the S&P 500 to +11% for the week, and after an awful start, it is now positive in the month of March.

Whether you were a bull or bear, you had to realize that sooner or later we'd see a decent rally after what happened during the first 9-weeks of the year, but it still is never easy to make the call. I thought we'd rally in late February and I got eaten up a bit and had to run back for cover. Then, out...

After Thursday and Friday's big losses, which erased the impressive gains made earlier in the week, the market appears ready to make a move. The problem is it could go either way.

We have data that could corroborates either side, the bullish or the bearish. The January jobs report will be released on Friday the 6th, and with estimates at -500K, surprises either way may put the exclamation point on a wild week. Why do I believe it will be wild?

For one thing, the wedge...

"To the victor belong the spoils." - Senator William Marcy

How stupid some small banker aspiring to be a bigger banker must be feeling right now. He lended with prudence, and avoided the call of short term profits. He was unable to accrue large bonuses do to the inflated performance. But now, the worm has turned -- and he is the victor, and to him belong the spoils.

But now we are changing the rules, allowing the losers to claim rights previously unimaginable. The small...